Electric vehicle battery prices are likely to decline by nearly 50% by 2026, driven by technological advancements and falling metal costs.
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AI Customer ServiceOur researchers forecast that average battery prices could fall towards $80/kWh by 2026, amounting to a drop of almost 50% from 2023, a level at which battery electric
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AI Customer ServiceGlobal electric vehicle (EV) battery prices could drop by almost another 50 per cent by 2026, according to Goldman Sachs Research, bringing with it the potential of price parity with internal combustion engine (ICE) cars.
Our researchers forecast that average battery prices could fall towards $80/kWh by 2026, amounting to a drop of almost 50% from 2023, a level at which battery electric vehicles would achieve ownership cost parity with gasoline-fueled cars in the US on an unsubsidized basis. Source: Company data, Wood Mackenzie, SNE Research, Goldman Sachs Research
Global average prices for EV batteries have already seen a decline, falling from $153 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) in 2020 to $149 in 2023. This year, prices are expected to drop further to $111 per kWh, and by 2026, they are projected to reach just $80.
Innovations such as increased energy density have come hand-in-hand with the continued downturn in battery metal prices, which – accounting for nearly 60 per cent of the total cost of batteries – will drive over 40 per cent of the decline in EV battery price declines throughout the remainder of the decade.
“The reduction in battery costs could lead to more competitive EV pricing, more extensive consumer adoption, and further growth in the total addressable markets for EVs and batteries,” says Bhandari.
That’s subsiding as prices cool for battery metals, which could help make EVs more competitive with traditional cars more quickly. Goldman Sachs Research now expects battery prices to fall to $99 per kilowatt hour (kWh) of storage capacity by 2025 — a 40% decrease from 2022 (the previous forecast was for a 33% decline).
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